SkoryumUEFA Champions League · Matchweek 2 · Oct 14
Aston Villa - Fenerbahçe
Aston Villa host Fenerbahçe on Oct 14 at 22:00. The model gives Fenerbahçe a 45% win probability.
MATCH PREDICTION
Aston VillaDrawFenerbahçe
Combo Double chance : Aston Villa or draw and -2.5 goals
CallWin or draw
Goal line-2.5
FORM REPORT
Aston Villalast 5Fenerbahçe
0
73
Form
0
41
Attack
0
82
Defence
Fenerbahçe
7-3
1.40 scored
· 0.60 conceded
Attack, defence and form are strength ratings out of 100 from the last five matches.
LEAGUE STANDING
Aston Villa
5.
Avrupa Ligi
58 pts · 35 played
17-7-11 · +4
Fenerbahçe
2.
UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
70 pts · 32 played
20-10-2 · +37
League average
2.76Goals
%56BTTS
9.92Corners
3.98Cards
UNAVAILABLE
Aston Villa
Fenerbahçe
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ULTIMATE
Referee analysis
The referee's card, goal, foul and bias profile — 34 metrics — is an Ultimate feature.
See UltimateHEAD TO HEAD1 meetings
Aston Villa
1
Too few meetings for a trend
Fenerbahçe
0
1 Aston Villa
0 draw
0 Fenerbahçe
GOALS IN THIS FIXTURE
1.0goals / match
1–0total goals
1/0clean sheets
1-0Aston Villa best win · Jan 22
Over 1.5
0/1
Over 2.5
0/1
Over 3.5
0/1
BTTS
0/1
DOES THE VENUE MATTER
Fenerbahçe at home1 matches
0W
0D
1L
0:1
Results are read from the side that hosted the match.
FORM COMPARISON
Aston Villa2W 0D 3L
Fenerbahçe2W 1D 2L
1.20
1.40
Points per game
9
9
Goals scored
7
7
Goals conceded
1.37
1.85
xG average
1.27
1.35
xGA average
%20
%20
Clean sheets
%40
%40
BTTS
%60
%80
Over 2.5
5.4
7.2
Corners
1.2
2.8
Cards
Aston Villa5W 1D 4L
Fenerbahçe6W 1D 3L
1.60
1.90
Points per game
20
21
Goals scored
11
12
Goals conceded
1.39
1.89
xG average
1.32
1.26
xGA average
%30
%30
Clean sheets
%50
%40
BTTS
%60
%70
Over 2.5
4.8
8.4
Corners
1.0
2.5
Cards
SEASON COMPARISON
9Aston Villain the table3pts
1matches
1-0-0W-D-L
3:2goals
+1diff
W
20Fenerbahçein the table1pts
1matches
0-1-0W-D-L
1:1goals
+0diff
D
Season profile · 2024/2025 · 12 matches
2.08
1.00
Points per game
1.38
1.17
xG average
1.38
1.44
xGA average
%42
%25
Clean sheets
%42
%50
BTTS
%58
%50
Over 2.5
3.8
3.8
Corners
1.6
2.2
Cards
PREVIOUS MEETINGS
THE REFEREE24 matches on record
Ivan Kružliak
Strictness43
TEMPO47
Cards: ModerateFouls: ModeratePenalties: ModerateGoals: ModerateOver 2.5: Moderate
This match vs his average
Cards
03.9
-3.9
Fouls
022.4
-22.4
Goals
02.9
-2.9
Corners
08.3
-8.3
Win probability
Aston Villa %33
Draw %22
Fenerbahçe %45
1.21Aston Villa xPuan
1.57Fenerbahçe xPuan
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ULTIMATE
Pre-match model
The model outcome split, its gap to the market, expected goals, likely scorelines and HT/FT sit behind Ultimate.
See UltimateODDS
Aston Villa1.51%58
Draw4.10%21
Fenerbahçe4.25%21
Both teams to score
Yes1.60
No2.15
79.0%BTTS
86.0%Over 1.5
57.0%Over 2.5
3.43Expected goals
Implied probability is de-margined from the listed odds.
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Aston VillaDWWLW
FenerbahçeWWDDL
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