UEFA Champions League · Matchweek 3 · Oct 21

Real Madrid - RB Leipzig

Real Madrid host RB Leipzig on Oct 21 at 22:00. The model gives Real Madrid a 61% win probability.

POWER COMPARISON
Real Madrid 62% 38% RB Leipzig
64% H2H 36%
60% Goals 40%
MATCH PREDICTION
50% 50% 0%
Real MadridDrawRB Leipzig
Double chance : Real Madrid or draw
CallWin or draw
LEAGUE STANDING
Real Madrid 2. Sampiyonlar Ligi 77 pts · 34 played 24-5-5 · +39
RB Leipzig 3. Sampiyonlar Ligi 62 pts · 32 played 19-5-8 · +21
League average 2.71Goals %56BTTS 9.67Corners 4.79Cards
UNAVAILABLE
Real Madrid
A. GulerRed Cardsuspension
A. LuninIllnessinjury
A. TchouameniMuscle Injuryinjury
B. SilvaRed Cardsuspension
D. HuijsenRed Cardsuspension
E. CamavingaRed Cardsuspension
Eder MilitaoHamstring Injuryinjury
EndrickMuscle Injuryinjury
RB Leipzig
A. KoneOff the rosterinjury
A. OuedraogoShoulder Injuryinjury
B. GrudaMuscle Injuryinjury
C. BaumgartnerThigh Injuryinjury
C. LukebaMuscle Injuryinjury
L. ZingerleOff the rosterinjury
M. GuiuHamstring Injuryinjury
Romulo CardosoKnee Injuryinjury
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HEAD TO HEAD4 meetings · 2022–2024
Real Madrid 2
Sep 14who was on topMar 6
RB Leipzig 1
2 Real Madrid 1 draw 1 RB Leipzig
GOALS IN THIS FIXTURE
2.5goals / match
6–4total goals
2/0clean sheets
2-0Real Madrid best win · Sep 14
3-2RB Leipzig best win · Oct 25
%75 Over 1.5 3/4
%25 Over 2.5 1/4
%25 Over 3.5 1/4
%50 BTTS 2/4
DOES THE VENUE MATTER
Real Madrid at home2 matches
1W 1D 0L 3:1
RB Leipzig at home2 matches
1W 0D 1L 3:3
Results are read from the side that hosted the match.
FORM COMPARISON
Real Madrid2W 2D 1L RB Leipzig4W 0D 1L
1.60 2.40 Points per game
9 10 Goals scored
7 7 Goals conceded
1.97 1.92 xG average
1.75 1.53 xGA average
%20 %20 Clean sheets
%80 %80 BTTS
%40 %80 Over 2.5
6.6 6.0 Corners
3.0 2.0 Cards
Real Madrid5W 2D 3L RB Leipzig7W 1D 2L
1.70 2.20 Points per game
20 21 Goals scored
15 12 Goals conceded
1.93 1.77 xG average
1.70 1.40 xGA average
%10 %20 Clean sheets
%90 %70 BTTS
%70 %80 Over 2.5
6.0 5.8 Corners
2.2 1.8 Cards
SEASON COMPARISON
14Real Madridin the table3pts
1matches 1-0-0W-D-L 2:1goals +1diff
W
32RB Leipzigin the table0pts
1matches 0-0-1W-D-L 1:4goals -3diff
L
Season profile · 2025/2026 · 8 matches
1.88 0.38 Points per game
2.14 1.27 xG average
1.80 1.58 xGA average
%25 %0 Clean sheets
%63 %63 BTTS
%75 %63 Over 2.5
6.6 5.2 Corners
3.0 1.9 Cards
PREVIOUS MEETINGS
Mar 6 Real Madrid 1-1 RB Leipzig UEFA Champions League
Feb 13 RB Leipzig 0-1 Real Madrid UEFA Champions League
Oct 25 RB Leipzig 3-2 Real Madrid UEFA Champions League
Sep 14 Real Madrid 2-0 RB Leipzig UEFA Champions League
Win probability
Real Madrid %61 Draw %25 RB Leipzig %14
2.08Real Madrid xPuan
0.67RB Leipzig xPuan
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ODDS
100.0%BTTS
100.0%Over 1.5
100.0%Over 2.5
4.0Expected goals
Implied probability is de-margined from the listed odds.
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Form
Real MadridWLWWW
RB LeipzigWLWLL
Match Reportsall →
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