UEFA Champions League · Matchweek 3 · Oct 21
Real Madrid - RB Leipzig
Real Madrid host RB Leipzig on Oct 21 at 22:00. The model gives Real Madrid a 61% win probability.
POWER COMPARISON
Real Madrid
62%
38%
RB Leipzig
64%
H2H
36%
60%
Goals
40%
MATCH PREDICTION
Real MadridDrawRB Leipzig
Double chance : Real Madrid or draw
CallWin or draw
LEAGUE STANDING
Real Madrid
2.
Sampiyonlar Ligi
77 pts · 34 played
24-5-5 · +39
RB Leipzig
3.
Sampiyonlar Ligi
62 pts · 32 played
19-5-8 · +21
League average
2.71Goals
%56BTTS
9.67Corners
4.79Cards
UNAVAILABLE
Real Madrid
RB Leipzig
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Comparison
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Squad
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Create free accountHEAD TO HEAD4 meetings · 2022–2024
Sep 14who was on topMar 6
2 Real Madrid
1 draw
1 RB Leipzig
GOALS IN THIS FIXTURE
2.5goals / match
6–4total goals
2/0clean sheets
2-0Real Madrid best win · Sep 14
3-2RB Leipzig best win · Oct 25
Over 1.5
3/4
Over 2.5
1/4
Over 3.5
1/4
BTTS
2/4
DOES THE VENUE MATTER
Real Madrid at home2 matches
1W
1D
0L
3:1
RB Leipzig at home2 matches
1W
0D
1L
3:3
Results are read from the side that hosted the match.
FORM COMPARISON
Real Madrid2W 2D 1L
RB Leipzig4W 0D 1L
1.60
2.40
Points per game
9
10
Goals scored
7
7
Goals conceded
1.97
1.92
xG average
1.75
1.53
xGA average
%20
%20
Clean sheets
%80
%80
BTTS
%40
%80
Over 2.5
6.6
6.0
Corners
3.0
2.0
Cards
Real Madrid5W 2D 3L
RB Leipzig7W 1D 2L
1.70
2.20
Points per game
20
21
Goals scored
15
12
Goals conceded
1.93
1.77
xG average
1.70
1.40
xGA average
%10
%20
Clean sheets
%90
%70
BTTS
%70
%80
Over 2.5
6.0
5.8
Corners
2.2
1.8
Cards
SEASON COMPARISON
14Real Madridin the table3pts
1matches
1-0-0W-D-L
2:1goals
+1diff
W
32RB Leipzigin the table0pts
1matches
0-0-1W-D-L
1:4goals
-3diff
L
Season profile · 2025/2026 · 8 matches
1.88
0.38
Points per game
2.14
1.27
xG average
1.80
1.58
xGA average
%25
%0
Clean sheets
%63
%63
BTTS
%75
%63
Over 2.5
6.6
5.2
Corners
3.0
1.9
Cards
PREVIOUS MEETINGS
Win probability
Real Madrid %61
Draw %25
RB Leipzig %14
2.08Real Madrid xPuan
0.67RB Leipzig xPuan
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Pre-match model
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100.0%BTTS
100.0%Over 1.5
100.0%Over 2.5
4.0Expected goals
Implied probability is de-margined from the listed odds.
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Real MadridWLWWW
RB LeipzigWLWLL
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