UEFA Champions League · Matchweek 2 · Oct 14

Manchester City - Paris Saint Germain

Manchester City host Paris Saint Germain on Oct 14 at 22:00. The model gives Manchester City a 56% win probability.

🏟 Etihad Stadium Manchester 👤 Referee: Sven Jablonski
POWER COMPARISON
Manchester City 55% 45% Paris Saint Germain
60% H2H 40%
50% Goals 50%
MATCH PREDICTION
45% 45% 10%
Manchester CityDrawParis Saint Germain
Double chance : Manchester City or draw
CallWin or draw
LEAGUE STANDING
Manchester City 2. Sampiyonlar Ligi 71 pts · 34 played 21-8-5 · +37
Paris Saint Germain 1. Sampiyonlar Ligi 70 pts · 31 played 22-4-5 · +43
League average 2.76Goals %56BTTS 9.92Corners 3.98Cards
UNAVAILABLE
Manchester City
Allan EliasTransfer negotiationsinjury
E. FernandezCoach's decisioninjury
I. NdiayeInjuryinjury
J. DokuCalf Injuryinjury
M. NunesInjuryinjury
N. O'ReillyInjuryinjury
P. FodenRed Cardsuspension
Paris Saint Germain
A. HakimiThigh Injuryinjury
A. LongoniInjuryinjury
D. DoueMuscle Injuryinjury
F. TorresAnkle Injuryinjury
I. ZabarnyiCoach's decisioninjury
L. DigneInactiveinjury
N. MendesRestinjury
O. DembeleRestinjury
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HEAD TO HEAD5 meetings · 2021–2025
Manchester City 3
Apr 28who was on topJan 22
Paris Saint Germain 2
3 Manchester City 0 draw 2 Paris Saint Germain
GOALS IN THIS FIXTURE
3.2goals / match
8–8total goals
1/1clean sheets
2-0Manchester City best win · May 4
4-2Paris Saint Germain best win · Jan 22
%100 Over 1.5 5/5
%60 Over 2.5 3/5
%20 Over 3.5 1/5
%60 BTTS 3/5
DOES THE VENUE MATTER
Manchester City at home2 matches
2W 0D 0L 4:1
Paris Saint Germain at home3 matches
2W 0D 1L 7:4
Results are read from the side that hosted the match.
FORM COMPARISON
Manchester City4W 1D 0L Paris Saint Germain3W 2D 0L
2.60 2.20 Points per game
11 14 Goals scored
5 7 Goals conceded
2.33 1.89 xG average
1.04 1.27 xGA average
%40 %40 Clean sheets
%60 %60 BTTS
%80 %80 Over 2.5
10.0 6.6 Corners
0.8 2.2 Cards
Manchester City6W 2D 2L Paris Saint Germain7W 2D 1L
2.00 2.30 Points per game
19 26 Goals scored
11 10 Goals conceded
2.05 1.95 xG average
1.11 1.10 xGA average
%40 %50 Clean sheets
%50 %50 BTTS
%70 %70 Over 2.5
9.1 6.1 Corners
1.5 1.7 Cards
SEASON COMPARISON
8Manchester Cityin the table3pts
1matches 1-0-0W-D-L 2:0goals +2diff
W
1Paris Saint Germainin the table3pts
1matches 1-0-0W-D-L 6:1goals +5diff
W
Season profile · 2025/2026 · 8 matches
2.00 1.75 Points per game
2.04 2.37 xG average
0.98 1.05 xGA average
%38 %25 Clean sheets
%50 %75 BTTS
%50 %75 Over 2.5
5.5 6.8 Corners
1.8 1.1 Cards
PREVIOUS MEETINGS
Jan 22 Paris Saint Germain 4-2 Manchester City UEFA Champions League
Nov 24 Manchester City 2-1 Paris Saint Germain UEFA Champions League
Sep 28 Paris Saint Germain 2-0 Manchester City UEFA Champions League
May 4 Manchester City 2-0 Paris Saint Germain UEFA Champions League
Apr 28 Paris Saint Germain 1-2 Manchester City UEFA Champions League
THE REFEREE40 matches on record
Sven Jablonski
Strictness39 TEMPO48
Cards: LenientFouls: ModeratePenalties: RareGoals: ModerateOver 2.5: Moderate
This match vs his average
Cards 02.8 -2.8
Fouls 019.5 -19.5
Goals 03.3 -3.3
Corners 09.0 -9.0
Win probability
Manchester City %56 Draw %14 Paris Saint Germain %30
1.82Manchester City xPuan
1.04Paris Saint Germain xPuan
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Form
Manchester CityWWWWW
Paris Saint GermainWWWWL
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