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Championship · Matchweek 9 · Oct 11

Southampton - Portsmouth

Southampton host Portsmouth on Oct 11 at 14:00. The model gives Southampton a 47% win probability.

SouthamptonHOME Southampton
14:00
Oct 11
PortsmouthAWAY Portsmouth
🏟 St. Mary's Stadium Southampton 👤 Referee: Adam Herczeg
POWER COMPARISON
Southampton 66% 34% Portsmouth
64% H2H 36%
67% Goals 33%
MATCH PREDICTION
50% 50% 0%
SouthamptonDrawPortsmouth
Double chance : Southampton or draw
CallWin or draw
LEAGUE STANDING
Southampton 4. Promotion Play-off 80 pts · 46 played 22-14-10 · +26
Portsmouth 18. 55 pts · 46 played 14-13-19 · -15
League average 2.60Goals %56BTTS 10.31Corners 3.86Cards
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HEAD TO HEAD2 meetings · 2025–2026
Southampton 0
Too few meetings for a trend
Portsmouth 0
0 Southampton 2 draw 0 Portsmouth
Last 2 meetings drawn
GOALS IN THIS FIXTURE
1.0goals / match
1–1total goals
1/1clean sheets
%50 Over 1.5 1/2
%0 Over 2.5 0/2
%0 Over 3.5 0/2
%50 BTTS 1/2
DOES THE VENUE MATTER
Southampton at home1 matches
0W 1D 0L 0:0
Portsmouth at home1 matches
0W 1D 0L 1:1
Results are read from the side that hosted the match.
FORM COMPARISON
Southampton2W 2D 1L Portsmouth3W 1D 1L
1.60 2.00 Points per game
10 8 Goals scored
8 7 Goals conceded
1.46 1.12 xG average
1.68 1.48 xGA average
%0 %40 Clean sheets
%100 %60 BTTS
%100 %40 Over 2.5
6.4 2.6 Corners
1.2 1.6 Cards
Southampton7W 2D 1L Portsmouth4W 3D 3L
2.30 1.50 Points per game
24 13 Goals scored
11 17 Goals conceded
1.60 1.32 xG average
1.49 1.40 xGA average
%20 %30 Clean sheets
%80 %60 BTTS
%90 %40 Over 2.5
5.9 4.7 Corners
1.2 2.5 Cards
SEASON COMPARISON
16Southamptonin the table10pts
8matches 4-2-2W-D-L 19:10goals +9diff
LWWDD
19Portsmouthin the table8pts
7matches 2-2-3W-D-L 9:10goals -1diff
DDWLL
PREVIOUS MEETINGS
Jan 25 Portsmouth 1-1 Southampton Championship
Sep 14 Southampton 0-0 Portsmouth Championship
THE REFEREE33 matches on record
Adam Herczeg
Strictness44 TEMPO50
Cards: ModerateFouls: ModeratePenalties: ModerateGoals: HighOver 2.5: High
This match vs his average
Cards 03.5 -3.5
Fouls 021.4 -21.4
Goals 03.4 -3.4
Corners 010.5 -10.5
Win probability
Southampton %47 Draw %24 Portsmouth %29
1.65Southampton xPuan
1.11Portsmouth xPuan
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ODDS
Southampton1.54%60
Draw4.20%22
Portsmouth5.19%18
Both teams to score Yes1.70 No2.05
84.0%BTTS
84.0%Over 1.5
84.0%Over 2.5
3.54Expected goals
Implied probability is de-margined from the listed odds.
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Form
SouthamptonLWWDD
PortsmouthDDWLL
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