Premier League · Matchweek 7 · Oct 17

Newcastle - Aston Villa

Newcastle host Aston Villa on Oct 17 at 19:30. The model gives Newcastle a 53% win probability.

🏟 St. James' Park Newcastle
POWER COMPARISON
Newcastle 50% 50% Aston Villa
50% H2H 50%
50% Goals 50%
LEAGUE STANDING
Newcastle 13. 45 pts · 35 played 13-6-16 · -2
Aston Villa 5. Avrupa Ligi 58 pts · 35 played 17-7-11 · +4
League average 2.76Goals %56BTTS 9.92Corners 3.98Cards
UNAVAILABLE
Newcastle
A. DedicMuscle Injuryinjury
A. ElangaKnee Injuryinjury
D. BurnAnkle Injuryinjury
E. JaouenMuscle Injuryinjury
JoelintonThigh Injuryinjury
J. RamseyInjuryinjury
L. MileyInjuryinjury
M. Fernandez-PardoTransfer negotiationsinjury
Aston Villa
A. OnanaKnee Injuryinjury
B. MadjoAnkle Injuryinjury
I. MaatsenAnkle Injuryinjury
I. MbayeInactiveinjury
J. ManzambiKnee Injuryinjury
Joao GomesCalf Injuryinjury
L. BaileyMuscle Injuryinjury
L. GoretzkaKnee Injuryinjury
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HEAD TO HEAD13 meetings · 2021–2026
Newcastle 6
Jan 23who was on topFeb 14
Aston Villa 5
6 Newcastle 2 draw 5 Aston Villa
GOALS IN THIS FIXTURE
2.9goals / match
21–17total goals
4/5clean sheets
5-1Newcastle best win · Aug 12
4-1Aston Villa best win · Apr 19
%85 Over 1.5 11/13
%54 Over 2.5 7/13
%38 Over 3.5 5/13
%38 BTTS 5/13
DOES THE VENUE MATTER
Newcastle at home6 matches
4W 1D 1L 14:4
Aston Villa at home7 matches
4W 1D 2L 13:7
Results are read from the side that hosted the match.
SEASON COMPARISON
11Newcastlein the table8pts
5matches 2-2-1W-D-L 9:9goals +0diff
WLDWD
14Aston Villain the table5pts
6matches 1-2-3W-D-L 6:11goals -5diff
DWLDL
PREVIOUS MEETINGS
Feb 14 Aston Villa 1-3 Newcastle FA Cup
Jan 25 Newcastle 0-2 Aston Villa Premier League
Aug 16 Aston Villa 0-0 Newcastle Premier League
Apr 19 Aston Villa 4-1 Newcastle Premier League
Dec 26 Newcastle 3-0 Aston Villa Premier League
Jan 30 Aston Villa 1-3 Newcastle Premier League
Aug 12 Newcastle 5-1 Aston Villa Premier League
Apr 15 Aston Villa 3-0 Newcastle Premier League
Win probability
Newcastle %53 Draw %21 Aston Villa %26
1.80Newcastle xPuan
0.99Aston Villa xPuan
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ODDS
Newcastle2.17%45
Draw3.93%25
Aston Villa3.34%30
67.0%BTTS
84.0%Over 1.5
84.0%Over 2.5
3.34Expected goals
Implied probability is de-margined from the listed odds.
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Form
NewcastleWLWDW
Aston VillaDWWLW
Match Reportsall →
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