SkoryumPremier League · Matchweek 7 · Oct 17
Everton - Chelsea
Everton host Chelsea on Oct 17 at 14:30. The model gives Everton a 45% win probability.
POWER COMPARISON
Everton
27%
73%
Chelsea
29%
H2H
71%
25%
Goals
75%
MATCH PREDICTION
EvertonDrawChelsea
Double chance : draw or Chelsea
CallWin or draw
LEAGUE STANDING
Everton
10.
48 pts · 35 played
13-9-13 · +0
Chelsea
9.
48 pts · 35 played
13-9-13 · +6
League average
2.76Goals
%56BTTS
9.92Corners
3.98Cards
UNAVAILABLE
Everton
Chelsea
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Comparison
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Create free accountHEAD TO HEAD12 meetings · 2020–2026
Everton
4
Dec 12who was on topMar 21
Chelsea
5
4 Everton
3 draw
5 Chelsea
GOALS IN THIS FIXTURE
2.1goals / match
10–15total goals
5/6clean sheets
3-0Everton best win · Mar 21
6-0Chelsea best win · Apr 15
Over 1.5
7/12
Over 2.5
3/12
Over 3.5
2/12
BTTS
2/12
DOES THE VENUE MATTER
Everton at home6 matches
4W
1D
1L
7:1
Chelsea at home6 matches
4W
2D
0L
14:3
Results are read from the side that hosted the match.
FORM COMPARISON
Everton1W 2D 2L
Chelsea1W 0D 4L
1.00
0.60
Points per game
10
2
Goals scored
9
10
Goals conceded
1.43
1.40
xG average
1.65
1.32
xGA average
%20
%20
Clean sheets
%80
%20
BTTS
%100
%60
Over 2.5
3.2
6.4
Corners
2.4
2.2
Cards
Everton3W 2D 5L
Chelsea2W 0D 8L
1.10
0.60
Points per game
16
11
Goals scored
16
22
Goals conceded
1.43
1.64
xG average
1.61
1.21
xGA average
%20
%20
Clean sheets
%60
%20
BTTS
%70
%70
Over 2.5
4.4
6.9
Corners
2.0
1.5
Cards
SEASON COMPARISON
8Evertonin the table9pts
5matches
2-3-0W-D-L
6:3goals
+3diff
WDDDW
5Chelseain the table10pts
6matches
3-1-2W-D-L
15:13goals
+2diff
WLDLW
Season profile · 2025/2026 · 25 matches
1.48
1.72
Points per game
1.26
1.59
xG average
1.51
1.30
xGA average
%36
%36
Clean sheets
%44
%64
BTTS
%32
%64
Over 2.5
4.2
5.8
Corners
2.1
2.6
Cards
PREVIOUS MEETINGS
Win probability
Everton %45
Draw %35
Chelsea %20
1.70Everton xPuan
0.95Chelsea xPuan
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ULTIMATE
Pre-match model
The model outcome split, its gap to the market, expected goals, likely scorelines and HT/FT sit behind Ultimate.
See UltimateODDS
Everton3.29%30
Draw3.72%26
Chelsea2.26%44
50.0%BTTS
84.0%Over 1.5
67.0%Over 2.5
3.0Expected goals
Implied probability is de-margined from the listed odds.
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Team & player heatmaps
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ML deep-dive
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Form
EvertonWWDDD
ChelseaWLDWL
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