SkoryumSerie A · Matchweek 30 · Oct 12
Bahia - Mirassol
Bahia host Mirassol on Oct 12 at 01:30. The model gives Bahia a 59% win probability.
POWER COMPARISON
Bahia
49%
51%
Mirassol
42%
Form
58%
62%
Attack
38%
40%
Defence
60%
65%
Poisson
35%
50%
H2H
50%
36%
Goals
64%
MATCH PREDICTION
BahiaDrawMirassol
Double chance : Bahia or draw
CallWin or draw
Goal line (H / A)-2.5 / -1.5
FORM REPORT
Bahialast 5Mirassol
33
47
Form
89
56
Attack
0
33
Defence
Bahia
8-9
1.60 scored
· 1.80 conceded
Mirassol
5-6
1.00 scored
· 1.20 conceded
Attack, defence and form are strength ratings out of 100 from the last five matches.
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Comparison
Season comparison, form, goal markets and timing open with a free account.
Create free accountHEAD TO HEAD3 meetings · 2025–2026
Bahia
1
Apr 13who was on topApr 12
Mirassol
1
1 Bahia
1 draw
1 Mirassol
GOALS IN THIS FIXTURE
3.7goals / match
4–7total goals
0/0clean sheets
2-1Bahia best win · Apr 12
5-1Mirassol best win · Sep 1
Over 1.5
3/3
Over 2.5
2/3
Over 3.5
1/3
BTTS
3/3
DOES THE VENUE MATTER
Bahia at home1 matches
0W
1D
0L
1:1
Mirassol at home2 matches
1W
0D
1L
6:3
Results are read from the side that hosted the match.
FORM COMPARISON
Bahia3W 2D 0L
Mirassol2W 2D 1L
2.20
1.60
Points per game
8
8
Goals scored
4
4
Goals conceded
1.62
1.40
xG average
1.41
1.24
xGA average
%20
%40
Clean sheets
%80
%40
BTTS
%40
%60
Over 2.5
5.2
4.8
Corners
2.4
2.8
Cards
Bahia7W 2D 1L
Mirassol4W 3D 3L
2.30
1.50
Points per game
23
17
Goals scored
9
11
Goals conceded
2.08
1.29
xG average
1.29
1.35
xGA average
%30
%40
Clean sheets
%60
%40
BTTS
%60
%60
Over 2.5
6.5
3.8
Corners
2.0
2.5
Cards
SEASON COMPARISON
6Bahiain the table46pts
29matches
12-10-7W-D-L
43:36goals
+7diff
LLWWW
15Mirassolin the table33pts
29matches
8-9-12W-D-L
34:43goals
-9diff
DWDWL
PREVIOUS MEETINGS
Win probability
Bahia %59
Draw %22
Mirassol %19
1.99Bahia xPuan
0.79Mirassol xPuan
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Pre-match model
The model outcome split, its gap to the market, expected goals, likely scorelines and HT/FT sit behind Ultimate.
See UltimateODDS
Bahia1.63%56
Draw3.82%24
Mirassol4.68%20
Both teams to score
Yes1.62
No2.20
68.0%BTTS
82.0%Over 1.5
47.0%Over 2.5
2.54Expected goals
10.0Corners
4.0Cards
Implied probability is de-margined from the listed odds.
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ML deep-dive
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BahiaLLWWW
MirassolDWDWL
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